The fate of the Islamic Republic will be determined not by military superiority alone but by the outcome of this longer and more uncertain struggle. It is precisely there that Israel has now turned all of its attention.

Tehran can no longer rely exclusively on forward defense and must place greater emphasis on its own deterrence and self-defense capabilities.

From Tehran’s perspective, Lebanon is not a secondary negotiating issue but a critical component of its long-term security strategy.

As Israel’s tactical gains fall short, a renewed Iran-Israel war remains possible

Failure to conduct a realistic, measurable, and field-based threat assessment at the end of the 12-day conflict could lead Iran to greater vulnerabilities in the future with its current security architecture.

Iran’s decision to suspend cooperation with the IAEA represents a high-stakes gambit – an attempt to enhance deterrence without formally exiting the NPT.

Tehran seeks an exit from a potential crisis with the U.S., while Israel pushes preemptive options to guarantee its safety