Turkey started a new process in the Mediterranean by its Libyan policies. As Turkey stops the Haftar’s forces attempting to capture Tripoli, it deterred the actors behind Haftar and renderred their policies futile.
Since the inception of the Arab uprisings, the MENA region has been an open battlefield for regional and foreign actors.
Essebsi’s death will not change much in Tunisia’s foreign policy, at least in the next two months. This means that in the short run, Iran-Tunisia relations are likely to remain cordial, without necessarily becoming formal.
Turkey’s cool-headed and uncompromising attitude prevented covering up the incident and prevented the escalation of the crisis into a bilateral problem between Riyadh and Ankara.
Iran may face two major risks in the current phase: an extensive Israeli attack and second, the incrimination of Trump’s crackdown on the country.